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Indian Rupee Analysis: Trends and Key Drivers

On: Thursday, October 23, 2025 11:26 PM
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Indian Rupee Performance Analyzed

The Indian Rupee is doing surprisingly well, even though oil prices are going up. Investors are waiting for information about how much things cost in the United States. This makes understanding the rupee’s value a little tricky.

Key Points

  • Rupee gaining despite rising oil prices and US inflation data delay.
  • RBI intervened to keep the Rupee below 88.00, influencing movement.
  • US-India trade talks and dollar strength are key market drivers.
  • US President and Chinese President meeting to impact dollar value.
  • REER decreased to 97.6, signaling further rupee depreciation pressure.
  • RBI reduced dollar purchases, managing currency fluctuations strategically.

The Reserve Bank of India, or RBI, has been stepping in to help stabilize the rupee. They’ve been buying and selling dollars to try and keep the exchange rate steady. This is a common strategy when a currency is getting weaker.

Investors are watching closely for news from the United States. Specifically, they’re waiting to see how much things cost – this is called consumer inflation. This data can move the dollar’s value and, in turn, affect the rupee.

The dollar index, which measures the value of the US dollar against other currencies, has also been strong. This is partly because US President Donald Trump and the President of China, Xi Jinping, will be meeting soon. These meetings can change how investors see the dollar.

Crude oil prices have been fluctuating. They jumped up a lot on Thursday due to new sanctions, but they’ve come down a little since then. These changes in oil prices also add to the uncertainty around the rupee.

The Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER) is another important number to watch. It measures how the rupee compares to other countries’ currencies, taking into account differences in prices. It’s currently at 97.6.

The RBI isn’t buying as many dollars as it did last month. This is a way for them to manage the rupee’s value and reduce pressure on it.

“Understanding the rupee’s performance requires careful monitoring of global economic data and geopolitical events.”

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